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The next Bitcoin leg may say that it is less dependent on more than most of the political politics in Washington. On August 18 Market Note on X, Economist and Crypto Analyst Alex Krüger said the Federal Reserve Time – especially, who President Trump Nominated to amend Jerome Powell – Rather than any four-year-old. “I have high confidence in this cycle is not over because I expect the changes to the Fed to bring about the magnificent financial policy when Trump announces Powell,” Krürger said.
Bitcoin Bull Run depends on the new seat of making
The Krürger dismissed the return from the Righ Record to the top, is called “It’s amazing that every time you get the fix from the top of the most cycle. More and. He also provided his long-term harvest-cycle orthodoxy. [it] He died two cycles ago, and in 2021 it was accidentally, as it was macro driven. “In his view, the last cycle ended because the Fed turned” ultra-hawk on January 2022, “not because of any powerful Bitcoin.
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The proposal is visible. Time of four years as a chair is ended May 15, 2026, and reporting two weeks ago indicates that the White House has reduced Shortfall to “announcement” coming sooner than expected. Simple floats include former ruler for Kevin Warsh and Nec and Kevin Hassett among others, emphasizing market focus on a life – or not – the following seat.
In the near future, the policy calendar still calls the tape. The appearance of the Finell Jackson Hole look, planned during the Aug. 21-23 Symposium, is selected as a minute to put the tone before September Fomc. The combination of the Consensus flag risk that powll leans Hawkish to save option, as market prices for the next month; The Krüger depends on the “slightly considered speech (minimizing September) issues is logical, because the Fedd has been kept the option and does not allow the market itself in the corner.”
Special technology, Bitcoin is cool after the new higher prints in the middle of July and last week. Traders look at the top $ 112,000 as the first Cushion, with the Psychological Gritical Grility Free $ 100,000 Level, the above reference remains $ 122,000- $ 124,000 the latest peaks. The Krüreger also reveals that the BTC has a very difficult time increase in SAs without causes, “a point that is honored by adopted qualities.
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The removal and flexibility of the Gauges includes the “Low-Vol,” the Regime explained. Expressed flexibility of BTC options (DVOL / BVIV) is nearing two-year-old areas, and the interest of opening institutions remains from July Highs, signing a limited state from the experienced players in Jackson. KRüger also notes that the foundation for the future founded by the PUBBACK – An old one single leaks – electronic markets show a renewed bid in the renewable protection of Dips.
Macro Pant-line is straight: If the seat of Dusi Tilts Dusi, the markets will begin to reduce the looser status before the first policy, extension of the cycle; If a candidate is elected (and the following guidance) Skews, a strong liquidity pressure of Bitcoin’s Post-ETF Advance will end in line.
In the meantime, quick Catalysts combined in Jackson, followed by the PCE, NFP, CPI and PPI Trading in September – While Prices Between well described with well-defined levels. Since Krüger puts you, bullrits “not overwhelmed due to equal measurement or expansion; the end requires a major outbreak.” In 2025, that causes it possible.
During the pressure, BTC was sold at $ 115,683.
The installed image is made of dall.e, chart from Chiningview.com
