The UBS Director The UBS GOOD AND Portfolio Manager Jason Katz discussing whether the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates to ‘Varney & Co’
The US economy is in a place to deviate as Federal Reserve Cut out the interest rates for the first month in some directions that labor market is weakened despite the inflation left above 2% FED target.
Uncertainty is higher among the Trump Administration’s Changes in commercial policy and taxes and shifts in the migration policy, producing an uncertain relief of economic growth, inflation and unemployment from outstanding institutions.
The Federal Reserve Caisition was accompanied by an updated awareness of the NonPertisan Ronmessional Budget (CBO) and the Trump Management Office and the Budget (OMB) issued new predictions.
Here is a look at the FED, CBO and OMB protect the idea of economic growth, price decrease and unemployment in the next four years.
Fed cuts interest rates for the year in the middle of a weakened labor market
The Federal Reserve, CBO and Trump Administration issued to renew renewal resurrection this month. (Spencer Platt / Getty Pictures / Getty Photos)
Economic growth
Real Home Product (GDP) Anticipating 2.4% in 2024, although expected to reduce the year before the next 2025 part of 2025 in the first half of 2025 in the first half of 2025.
The Fed’s Project Showing GDP to 1.6% on Q4 of 2025 compared to the same quarter last year. GDP growth is exposed to an increase in 1.8% next year and 1.9% by 2027 before returning to 1.8% in 2028.
CBO guess From September Show 1.4% GDP Growth growth in 2025, increases 2.2% in 2026 before returning to 1.8% in 2027 and 2028.
This page Trump Administration’s Oms The growth of 1.8% of GDP projects in 2025, increases 3.2% in 2026 and 3.1% in the next two years.
The US economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter
Making over the right
One of the Inflations of the Inflations of the InflationS is very Inflation are the indicators of personalization (PCE), which is Fed’s Interation Gauge Testing as it looks to continue the increase in management in a long-term line at 2%. By August, The PCE IGHTATION It was 2.7%.
PCE membership projects will increase to 3% Year 3% of 2025. Then inflation at 2026 at 20% for 20% in 2028.
The CBO projects will increase up to 3.1% on 3.1% on the Q4 2025, where he sees a 2.4% by 2026 before returning to 20% in 2027 and 2028.
The TRUMS-PCT-PLEAST EMB measures will only be a PCE value by the end of this year, and will be 3% in 2026 and stayed there in 34.
Some of the most famous Inflation Gauge Is the Customer Price Reference, which is a CBO and OMB disposed of renewed measures this month.
The CBO sees the CPI a year after 2025 years, before decrease by 2.7% next year and 202% in 2026 and started to 272% in 2028.
Unemployment level
Job growth is cool in the past months, at the unemployment level It gets up to 4.3% in AugustHuman Resources Bureau is expected to release a report on September’s publications in Friday that prevents the potential disruption caused by the potential loss of government. The final report was not released on the planned day was October 2013, where the government was closed over the Republicans of Congress and the Appeal Care Act.
Projects for feeding the Unemployment level It will increase in 4,5% in Q4 of this year before graduation of 4,4% in the year 2026, 4.3% in 2028 and 4.2% in 2028.
CBO recognizes unemployment rate in 4.5% in Q4 of 2025. Then add that a decrease in 4.2% by 2026 before returning to 2027 in 2028.
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OMB projects carry Trump Administrations for unemployment level to fall to 4.1% this year according to the annual scale. It testifies to a decrease in 3.9% by 2026 and 3.7% in the year 2027 and 2028.
